Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003835 0.004193 0.004576 0.005017 0.005515 0.006059 0.006701
2025-11-02 0.003190 0.003680 0.004244 0.004943 0.005795 0.006809 0.008118
2025-11-09 0.002849 0.003407 0.004078 0.004954 0.006082 0.007508 0.009480
2025-11-16 0.002578 0.003168 0.003903 0.004901 0.006247 0.008034 0.010650
2025-11-23 0.002346 0.002948 0.003719 0.004802 0.006318 0.008417 0.011649
2025-11-30 0.002212 0.002837 0.003661 0.004854 0.006584 0.009084 0.013129
2025-12-07 0.002132 0.002788 0.003675 0.004999 0.006990 0.009987 0.015090
2025-12-14 0.001996 0.002650 0.003554 0.004935 0.007071 0.010400 0.016311
2025-12-21 0.001865 0.002510 0.003416 0.004831 0.007077 0.010685 0.017346
2025-12-28 0.001764 0.002405 0.003321 0.004780 0.007155 0.011090 0.018646
2026-01-04 0.001696 0.002341 0.003281 0.004809 0.007364 0.011732 0.020479
2026-01-11 0.001611 0.002248 0.003190 0.004750 0.007415 0.012101 0.021834
2026-01-18 0.001533 0.002165 0.003113 0.004714 0.007518 0.012602 0.023608
2026-01-25 0.001453 0.002074 0.003020 0.004646 0.007559 0.012998 0.025254
2026-02-01 0.001398 0.002017 0.002976 0.004656 0.007740 0.013684 0.027681
2026-02-08 0.001334 0.001945 0.002902 0.004607 0.007807 0.014147 0.029684
2026-02-15 0.001268 0.001863 0.002808 0.004516 0.007781 0.014416 0.031267
2026-02-22 0.001233 0.001831 0.002793 0.004563 0.008029 0.015296 0.034620
2026-03-01 0.001217 0.001827 0.002824 0.004697 0.008464 0.016650 0.039611
2026-03-08 0.001167 0.001766 0.002755 0.004638 0.008494 0.017084 0.042106
2026-03-15 0.001115 0.001698 0.002670 0.004542 0.008438 0.017309 0.044036
2026-03-22 0.001074 0.001647 0.002612 0.004495 0.008481 0.017780 0.046870
2026-03-29 0.001047 0.001619 0.002593 0.004522 0.008690 0.018693 0.051431